Predicted scoreToss-up
BYU
26.3
TCU
26.6
TCU win probability: 50%
Margin (TCU − BYU): 0.3 (80% range -20 to 21)
Total: 52.9 (80% range 30 to 77)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.67% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:10 PM | 0.2 | 52.9 | 50% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:12 PM | 0.2 | 52.9 | 50% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:28:31 PM | 0.3 | 52.9 | 50% |