Predicted scoreToss-up
TCU
25.2
Arizona
28.2
Arizona win probability: 57%
Margin (Arizona − TCU): 3.0 (80% range -17 to 24)
Total: 53.4 (80% range 31 to 78)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.58% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:10 PM | 3.0 | 53.5 | 57% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:13 PM | 3.0 | 53.5 | 57% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:49 PM | 3.0 | 53.4 | 57% |