Predicted scoreToss-up
TCU
30.7
Baylor
27.4
Baylor win probability: 42%
Margin (Baylor − TCU): -3.3 (80% range -24 to 18)
Total: 58.0 (80% range 34 to 83)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 28 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.60% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.55% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:28 PM | -3.3 | 58.0 | 42% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:41 PM | -3.3 | 58.0 | 42% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:14 PM | -3.3 | 58.0 | 42% |