2025 Week 6 · Oct 4, 2025, 11:00 PM · TDECU Stadium
Texas Tech @ Houston
Predicted scoreToss-up
Texas Tech
26.0
Houston
23.6
Houston win probability: 44%
Margin (Houston − Texas Tech): -2.5 (80% range -23 to 17)
Total: 49.6 (80% range 27 to 73)
Actual: Texas Tech 35 – Houston 11 (margin error 21.5, total error 3.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.64% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.