2025 Week 7 · Oct 11, 2025, 4:00 PM · Boone Pickens Stadium

Houston @ Oklahoma State

Predicted scoreLikely

Houston

32.6

Oklahoma State

20.3

Oklahoma State win probability: 23%

Margin (Oklahoma State − Houston): -12.3 (80% range -33 to 8)

Total: 52.9 (80% range 30 to 77)

Actual: Houston 39 – Oklahoma State 17 (margin error 9.7, total error 3.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.