2026 Week 10 · Nov 7, 2026, 5:00 AM · TDECU Stadium
Cincinnati @ Houston
Predicted scoreLean
Cincinnati
25.7
Houston
30.2
Houston win probability: 61%
Margin (Houston − Cincinnati): 4.5 (80% range -16 to 25)
Total: 55.9 (80% range 31 to 80)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.65% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.63% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:14 PM | 4.5 | 55.9 | 61% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:21 PM | 4.5 | 55.9 | 61% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:06 PM | 4.5 | 55.9 | 61% |