2023 Week 8 · Oct 18, 2023, 11:00 PM · Elliott T. Bowers Stadium

Florida International @ Sam Houston

Predicted scoreLikely

Florida International

17.2

Sam Houston

27.8

Sam Houston win probability: 76%

Margin (Sam Houston − Florida International): 10.5 (80% range -9 to 31)

Total: 45.0 (80% range 24 to 67)

Actual: Florida International 33 – Sam Houston 27 (margin error 16.5, total error 15.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.