2023 Week 9 · Oct 26, 2023, 12:00 AM · Elliott T. Bowers Stadium

UTEP @ Sam Houston

Predicted scoreToss-up

UTEP

21.7

Sam Houston

24.9

Sam Houston win probability: 58%

Margin (Sam Houston − UTEP): 3.1 (80% range -17 to 23)

Total: 46.6 (80% range 24 to 69)

Actual: UTEP 37 – Sam Houston 34 (margin error 6.1, total error 24.4)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.