2023 Week 1 · Sep 3, 2023, 2:15 AM · LaVell Edwards Stadium
Sam Houston @ BYU
Predicted scoreLikely
Sam Houston
23.3
BYU
36.5
BYU win probability: 76%
Margin (BYU − Sam Houston): 13.2 (80% range -10 to 37)
Total: 59.9 (80% range 38 to 83)
Actual: Sam Houston 0 – BYU 14 (margin error 0.8, total error 45.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.50% |
| 24 | 34 | 0.43% |
| 17 | 34 | 0.42% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.36% |
| 20 | 31 | 0.35% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.