2023 Week 7 · Oct 12, 2023, 1:00 AM · Aggie Memorial Stadium

Sam Houston @ New Mexico State

Predicted scoreLean

Sam Houston

28.6

New Mexico State

22.5

New Mexico State win probability: 35%

Margin (New Mexico State − Sam Houston): -6.0 (80% range -27 to 14)

Total: 51.1 (80% range 28 to 75)

Actual: Sam Houston 13 – New Mexico State 27 (margin error 20.0, total error 11.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.