New Mexico State

Conference USA

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	@ Sam Houston	24.3–27.4	58%
Week 9	vs Jacksonville State	26.3–28.1	55%
Week 10	vs Liberty	29.4–24.0	37%
Week 11	@ Missouri State	25.3–24.5	48%
Week 12	vs Delaware	22.3–30.1	69%
Week 13	@ Middle Tennessee	25.9–28.2	55%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	@ Florida State	34–17	39.2–15.0	7.2
Week 1	vs Mercyhurst	14–51	—	—
Week 2	@ Hawai'i	29–19	30.7–21.6	0.9
Week 4	vs New Mexico	42–18	33.3–20.8	11.5
Week 5	vs Western Kentucky	13–34	28.0–26.9	22.1
Week 6	@ Florida International	22–3	26.2–22.8	15.6