2026 Week 13 · Nov 28, 2026, 5:00 AM · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
New Mexico State @ Middle Tennessee
Predicted scoreToss-up
New Mexico State
28.8
Middle Tennessee
28.7
Middle Tennessee win probability: 50%
Margin (Middle Tennessee − New Mexico State): -0.1 (80% range -21 to 21)
Total: 57.4 (80% range 34 to 83)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.61% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.59% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.57% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.57% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:05 PM | -0.1 | 57.5 | 50% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:13 PM | -0.1 | 57.5 | 50% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:41 PM | -0.1 | 57.4 | 50% |