2026 Week 9 · Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM · Aggie Memorial Stadium
Jacksonville State @ New Mexico State
Predicted scoreToss-up
Jacksonville State
27.7
New Mexico State
25.2
New Mexico State win probability: 44%
Margin (New Mexico State − Jacksonville State): -2.5 (80% range -23 to 18)
Total: 52.9 (80% range 30 to 77)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.64% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:02 PM | -2.5 | 53.0 | 44% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:58 PM | -2.5 | 53.0 | 44% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:03 PM | -2.5 | 52.9 | 44% |