2026 Week 12 · Nov 21, 2026, 5:00 AM · Aggie Memorial Stadium
Delaware @ New Mexico State
Predicted scoreToss-up
Delaware
26.1
New Mexico State
28.1
New Mexico State win probability: 55%
Margin (New Mexico State − Delaware): 2.0 (80% range -18 to 22)
Total: 54.2 (80% range 31 to 79)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.64% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:50 PM | 2.1 | 54.2 | 55% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:56 PM | 2.0 | 54.2 | 55% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:53 PM | 2.0 | 54.2 | 55% |