New Mexico State
Conference USA
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Massachusetts | 41–30 | 22.4–32.0 | 20.6 |
| Week 2 | @ Liberty | 33–17 | 36.7–18.9 | 1.7 |
| Week 3 | @ New Mexico | 17–27 | 28.7–26.8 | 11.8 |
| Week 4 | @ Hawai'i | 20–17 | 35.3–27.5 | 4.8 |
| Week 6 | vs Florida International | 17–34 | 23.7–30.0 | 10.7 |
| Week 7 | vs Sam Houston | 13–27 | 28.6–22.5 | 20.0 |
| Week 8 | @ UTEP | 7–28 | 29.0–26.2 | 23.8 |
| Week 9 | @ Louisiana Tech | 24–27 | 30.8–26.1 | 7.6 |
| Week 10 | vs Middle Tennessee | 7–13 | 29.4–28.2 | 7.2 |
| Week 11 | @ Western Kentucky | 29–38 | 32.9–22.8 | 19.1 |
| Week 12 | @ Auburn | 10–31 | 34.7–16.5 | 39.2 |
| Week 13 | vs Jacksonville State | 17–20 | 28.3–26.4 | 4.9 |
| Week 14 | @ Liberty | 49–35 | 35.3–25.3 | 4.0 |
| Week 1 | @ Fresno State | 37–10 | 36.7–22.6 | 12.9 |