2023 Week 12 · Nov 18, 2023, 9:00 PM · Jordan-Hare Stadium

New Mexico State @ Auburn

Predicted scoreConfident

New Mexico State

16.5

Auburn

34.7

Auburn win probability: 88%

Margin (Auburn − New Mexico State): 18.2 (80% range -2 to 38)

Total: 51.2 (80% range 30 to 75)

Actual: New Mexico State 31 – Auburn 10 (margin error 39.2, total error 10.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.