2023 Week 13 · Nov 25, 2023, 9:00 PM · Aggie Memorial Stadium

Jacksonville State @ New Mexico State

Predicted scoreToss-up

Jacksonville State

28.3

New Mexico State

26.4

New Mexico State win probability: 45%

Margin (New Mexico State − Jacksonville State): -1.9 (80% range -23 to 18)

Total: 54.7 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: Jacksonville State 17 – New Mexico State 20 (margin error 4.9, total error 17.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.