2023 Week 9 · Oct 24, 2023, 11:00 PM · Joe Aillet Stadium

New Mexico State @ Louisiana Tech

Predicted scoreLean

New Mexico State

26.1

Louisiana Tech

30.8

Louisiana Tech win probability: 61%

Margin (Louisiana Tech − New Mexico State): 4.6 (80% range -17 to 25)

Total: 56.9 (80% range 34 to 83)

Actual: New Mexico State 27 – Louisiana Tech 24 (margin error 7.6, total error 5.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.