New Mexico State
Conference USA
2024 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2024
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | vs Liberty | 30–24 | 29.7–26.9 | 3.2 |
| Week 3 | @ Fresno State | 48–0 | 34.7–20.7 | 34.0 |
| Week 4 | @ Sam Houston | 31–11 | 30.8–20.3 | 9.4 |
| Week 5 | vs New Mexico | 50–40 | 31.6–32.8 | 11.3 |
| Week 7 | @ Jacksonville State | 54–13 | 34.3–23.9 | 30.5 |
| Week 8 | vs Louisiana Tech | 30–33 | 27.0–24.9 | 5.2 |
| Week 10 | @ Florida International | 34–13 | 25.6–24.3 | 19.7 |
| Week 11 | vs Western Kentucky | 41–28 | 35.3–24.0 | 1.7 |
| Week 12 | @ Texas A&M | 38–3 | 39.8–12.3 | 7.5 |
| Week 13 | @ Middle Tennessee | 21–36 | 30.8–28.3 | 17.5 |
| Week 14 | vs UTEP | 42–35 | 24.8–27.0 | 9.2 |