2024 Week 7 · Oct 9, 2024, 11:30 PM · AmFirst Stadium

New Mexico State @ Jacksonville State

Predicted scoreLikely

New Mexico State

23.9

Jacksonville State

34.3

Jacksonville State win probability: 73%

Margin (Jacksonville State − New Mexico State): 10.5 (80% range -10 to 32)

Total: 58.2 (80% range 34 to 83)

Actual: New Mexico State 13 – Jacksonville State 54 (margin error 30.5, total error 8.8)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.