2024 Week 12 · Nov 17, 2024, 12:45 AM · Kyle Field
New Mexico State @ Texas A&M
Predicted scoreConfident
New Mexico State
12.3
Texas A&M
39.8
Texas A&M win probability: 96%
Margin (Texas A&M − New Mexico State): 27.5 (80% range 7 to 49)
Total: 52.1 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: New Mexico State 3 – Texas A&M 38 (margin error 7.5, total error 11.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 31 | 0.85% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.84% |
| 7 | 35 | 0.84% |
| 7 | 38 | 0.82% |
| 7 | 28 | 0.81% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.