2024 Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024, 9:00 PM · Aggie Memorial Stadium

UTEP @ New Mexico State

Predicted scoreToss-up

UTEP

24.8

New Mexico State

27.0

New Mexico State win probability: 56%

Margin (New Mexico State − UTEP): 2.2 (80% range -18 to 22)

Total: 51.7 (80% range 29 to 76)

Actual: UTEP 42 – New Mexico State 35 (margin error 9.2, total error 25.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.