2024 Week 10 · Oct 29, 2024, 11:00 PM · Pitbull Stadium (neutral site)

New Mexico State @ Florida International

Predicted scoreToss-up

New Mexico State

24.3

Florida International

25.6

Florida International win probability: 54%

Margin (Florida International − New Mexico State): 1.3 (80% range -18 to 21)

Total: 49.9 (80% range 28 to 73)

Actual: New Mexico State 13 – Florida International 34 (margin error 19.7, total error 2.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.