2024 Week 5 · Sep 29, 2024, 12:00 AM · Aggie Memorial Stadium

New Mexico @ New Mexico State

Predicted scoreToss-up

New Mexico

31.6

New Mexico State

32.8

New Mexico State win probability: 53%

Margin (New Mexico State − New Mexico): 1.3 (80% range -21 to 23)

Total: 64.4 (80% range 38 to 92)

Actual: New Mexico 50 – New Mexico State 40 (margin error 11.3, total error 25.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.