2024 Week 11 · Nov 9, 2024, 11:00 PM · Aggie Memorial Stadium

Western Kentucky @ New Mexico State

Predicted scoreLikely

Western Kentucky

35.3

New Mexico State

24.0

New Mexico State win probability: 25%

Margin (New Mexico State − Western Kentucky): -11.3 (80% range -32 to 10)

Total: 59.3 (80% range 35 to 86)

Actual: Western Kentucky 41 – New Mexico State 28 (margin error 1.7, total error 9.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.