New Mexico State
Conference USA
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | vs Tulsa | 14–21 | 27.9–29.7 | 5.2 |
| Week 3 | @ Louisiana Tech | 49–14 | 30.8–20.5 | 24.7 |
| Week 5 | @ New Mexico | 38–20 | 38.9–21.8 | 0.8 |
| Week 6 | vs Sam Houston | 10–37 | 27.3–25.7 | 28.5 |
| Week 8 | @ Liberty | 30–27 | 32.4–22.4 | 7.0 |
| Week 9 | vs Missouri State | 24–17 | 27.1–25.0 | 4.9 |
| Week 10 | @ Western Kentucky | 35–16 | 32.2–24.0 | 10.8 |
| Week 11 | vs Kennesaw State | 24–21 | 26.4–25.5 | 2.1 |
| Week 12 | @ Tennessee | 42–9 | 41.1–12.2 | 4.1 |
| Week 13 | @ UTEP | 31–34 | 23.5–22.9 | 3.7 |
| Week 14 | vs Middle Tennessee | 31–24 | 26.3–31.6 | 12.4 |