2025 Week 11 · Nov 8, 2025, 9:00 PM · Aggie Memorial Stadium

Kennesaw State @ New Mexico State

Predicted scoreToss-up

Kennesaw State

26.4

New Mexico State

25.5

New Mexico State win probability: 48%

Margin (New Mexico State − Kennesaw State): -0.9 (80% range -21 to 20)

Total: 51.9 (80% range 29 to 76)

Actual: Kennesaw State 24 – New Mexico State 21 (margin error 2.1, total error 6.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.