2024 Week 8 · Oct 16, 2024, 1:00 AM · Aggie Memorial Stadium

Louisiana Tech @ New Mexico State

Predicted scoreToss-up

Louisiana Tech

27.0

New Mexico State

24.9

New Mexico State win probability: 45%

Margin (New Mexico State − Louisiana Tech): -2.2 (80% range -22 to 18)

Total: 51.9 (80% range 28 to 76)

Actual: Louisiana Tech 30 – New Mexico State 33 (margin error 5.2, total error 11.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.