2026 Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026, 4:00 AM · Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex

New Mexico State @ Hawai'i

Predicted scoreLikely

New Mexico State

20.2

Hawai'i

32.8

Hawai'i win probability: 79%

Margin (Hawai'i − New Mexico State): 12.5 (80% range -7 to 33)

Total: 53.0 (80% range 30 to 77)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.

Prediction movement through the week

Generated	Pred. margin	Pred. total	Home win prob
8/13/2026, 8:54:21 PM	12.8	53.1	79%
9/3/2026, 1:04:34 PM	12.1	53.1	78%
9/3/2026, 2:26:54 PM	12.5	53.0	79%