2023 Week 11 · Nov 11, 2023, 8:00 PM · Joe Aillet Stadium

Sam Houston @ Louisiana Tech

Predicted scoreToss-up

Sam Houston

24.4

Louisiana Tech

27.4

Louisiana Tech win probability: 57%

Margin (Louisiana Tech − Sam Houston): 3.0 (80% range -17 to 24)

Total: 51.8 (80% range 29 to 76)

Actual: Sam Houston 42 – Louisiana Tech 27 (margin error 18.0, total error 17.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.