2026 Week 13 · Nov 28, 2026, 5:00 AM · Pitbull Stadium
Sam Houston @ Florida International
Predicted scoreLikely
Sam Houston
17.4
Florida International
28.4
Florida International win probability: 77%
Margin (Florida International − Sam Houston): 11.0 (80% range -8 to 31)
Total: 45.8 (80% range 24 to 69)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 24 | 0.79% |
| 10 | 17 | 0.76% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.75% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.74% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:01 PM | 10.6 | 48.8 | 75% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:13 PM | 10.5 | 48.8 | 75% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:42 PM | 10.6 | 48.8 | 75% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:51:56 AM | 10.5 | 48.8 | 75% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:06:05 PM | 10.6 | 48.8 | 75% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:05:29 PM | 10.4 | 48.7 | 75% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:59:25 PM | 10.1 | 50.4 | 74% |
| 9/13/2026, 3:01:22 PM | 10.6 | 51.7 | 75% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:42:59 PM | 10.6 | 51.7 | 75% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:02:16 PM | 10.8 | 51.8 | 76% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:40:36 PM | 10.8 | 51.8 | 75% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:34:49 PM | 7.3 | 48.1 | 68% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:48:51 PM | 6.5 | 48.8 | 66% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:45:13 PM | 9.1 | 47.8 | 72% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:24:54 PM | 11.0 | 45.8 | 77% |