2025 Week 1 · Aug 23, 2025, 11:30 PM · Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex

Stanford @ Hawai'i

Predicted scoreLean

Stanford

29.5

Hawai'i

24.1

Hawai'i win probability: 36%

Margin (Hawai'i − Stanford): -5.5 (80% range -25 to 14)

Total: 53.6 (80% range 31 to 78)

Actual: Stanford 20 – Hawai'i 23 (margin error 8.5, total error 10.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.