2025 Week 7 · Oct 12, 2025, 3:59 AM · Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex

Utah State @ Hawai'i

Predicted scoreToss-up

Utah State

29.1

Hawai'i

29.3

Hawai'i win probability: 50%

Margin (Hawai'i − Utah State): 0.1 (80% range -21 to 21)

Total: 58.4 (80% range 34 to 84)

Actual: Utah State 26 – Hawai'i 44 (margin error 17.9, total error 11.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.