Predicted scoreLean
Hawai'i
24.4
UNLV
32.2
UNLV win probability: 69%
Margin (UNLV − Hawai'i): 7.8 (80% range -13 to 28)
Total: 56.6 (80% range 33 to 82)
Actual: Hawai'i 10 – UNLV 38 (margin error 20.2, total error 8.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.68% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.