2025 Postseason · Dec 25, 2025, 1:00 AM · Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex

California @ Hawai'i

Predicted scoreLean

California

30.4

Hawai'i

22.7

Hawai'i win probability: 31%

Margin (Hawai'i − California): -7.7 (80% range -28 to 13)

Total: 53.1 (80% range 30 to 77)

Actual: California 31 – Hawai'i 35 (margin error 11.7, total error 12.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.