Predicted scoreToss-up
Hawai'i
23.8
Wyoming
25.5
Wyoming win probability: 54%
Margin (Wyoming − Hawai'i): 1.7 (80% range -18 to 21)
Total: 49.3 (80% range 27 to 73)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | 21 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.70% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:59 PM | 1.8 | 48.8 | 55% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:01 PM | 2.3 | 49.1 | 56% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:28:08 PM | 1.7 | 49.3 | 54% |