2026 Week 8 · Oct 24, 2026, 4:00 AM · Huskie Stadium
Hawai'i @ Northern Illinois
Predicted scoreToss-up
Hawai'i
26.5
Northern Illinois
25.2
Northern Illinois win probability: 46%
Margin (Northern Illinois − Hawai'i): -1.3 (80% range -21 to 18)
Total: 51.7 (80% range 28 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 17 | 0.75% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.67% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:49 PM | -1.3 | 51.8 | 46% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:52 PM | -1.3 | 51.7 | 46% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:51 PM | -1.3 | 51.7 | 46% |