2026 Week 9 · Nov 1, 2026, 2:30 AM · Allegiant Stadium
Northern Illinois @ UNLV
Predicted scoreLikely
Northern Illinois
19.5
UNLV
35.9
UNLV win probability: 85%
Margin (UNLV − Northern Illinois): 16.4 (80% range -4 to 37)
Total: 55.4 (80% range 31 to 80)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 31 | 0.76% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:07 PM | 16.4 | 55.5 | 85% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:11 PM | 16.3 | 55.5 | 85% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:41 PM | 16.4 | 55.4 | 85% |