Predicted scoreLikely
UNLV
34.8
Akron
20.4
Akron win probability: 18%
Margin (Akron − UNLV): -14.4 (80% range -35 to 6)
Total: 55.2 (80% range 31 to 80)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.80% |
| 31 | 10 | 0.67% |
| 28 | 14 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.65% |
| 28 | 24 | 0.62% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:44 PM | -14.3 | 55.3 | 19% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:57 PM | -14.4 | 55.2 | 18% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:27:39 PM | -14.4 | 55.2 | 18% |