UNLV
Mountain West
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ Michigan | 35–7 | 44.7–7.1 | 9.6 |
| Week 3 | vs Vanderbilt | 37–40 | 29.4–27.9 | 4.5 |
| Week 4 | @ UTEP | 28–45 | 25.5–27.8 | 14.7 |
| Week 5 | vs Hawai'i | 20–44 | 24.7–34.0 | 14.8 |
| Week 7 | @ Nevada | 27–45 | 24.0–27.4 | 14.6 |
| Week 8 | vs Colorado State | 23–25 | 21.1–31.1 | 8.0 |
| Week 9 | @ Fresno State | 31–24 | 34.1–21.5 | 5.6 |
| Week 10 | @ New Mexico | 14–56 | 24.3–34.2 | 32.1 |
| Week 11 | vs Wyoming | 14–34 | 25.4–29.5 | 15.8 |
| Week 12 | @ Air Force | 27–31 | 29.0–25.1 | 7.9 |
| Week 13 | vs San José State | 37–31 | 28.3–30.3 | 8.0 |
| Week 14 | vs Boise State | 44–20 | 30.0–28.0 | 22.0 |
| Week 1 | vs Kansas | 49–36 | 36.1–25.6 | 2.6 |