2023 Week 8 · Oct 21, 2023, 11:00 PM · Allegiant Stadium
Colorado State @ UNLV
Predicted scoreLikely
Colorado State
21.1
UNLV
31.1
UNLV win probability: 73%
Margin (UNLV − Colorado State): 10.0 (80% range -11 to 31)
Total: 52.2 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Colorado State 23 – UNLV 25 (margin error 8.0, total error 4.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.72% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.