2023 Week 10 · Nov 4, 2023, 10:00 PM · University Stadium (NM)

UNLV @ New Mexico

Predicted scoreLikely

UNLV

34.2

New Mexico

24.3

New Mexico win probability: 28%

Margin (New Mexico − UNLV): -9.9 (80% range -31 to 11)

Total: 58.5 (80% range 34 to 84)

Actual: UNLV 56 – New Mexico 14 (margin error 32.1, total error 11.5)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.