2023 Week 3 · Sep 16, 2023, 11:00 PM · Allegiant Stadium
Vanderbilt @ UNLV
Predicted scoreToss-up
Vanderbilt
29.4
UNLV
27.9
UNLV win probability: 46%
Margin (UNLV − Vanderbilt): -1.5 (80% range -22 to 19)
Total: 57.3 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: Vanderbilt 37 – UNLV 40 (margin error 4.5, total error 19.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.64% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.60% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.