Predicted scoreLikely
Kansas
36.1
UNLV
25.6
UNLV win probability: 27%
Margin (UNLV − Kansas): -10.4 (80% range -32 to 11)
Total: 61.7 (80% range 37 to 87)
Actual: Kansas 49 – UNLV 36 (margin error 2.6, total error 23.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 38 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.61% |
| 38 | 17 | 0.56% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.53% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.