2023 Week 14 · Dec 2, 2023, 8:00 PM · Allegiant Stadium
Boise State @ UNLV
Predicted scoreToss-up
Boise State
30.0
UNLV
28.0
UNLV win probability: 45%
Margin (UNLV − Boise State): -2.0 (80% range -23 to 18)
Total: 58.1 (80% range 34 to 84)
Actual: Boise State 44 – UNLV 20 (margin error 22.0, total error 5.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.57% |
| 21 | 21 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.