Predicted scoreToss-up
UNLV
27.8
UTEP
25.5
UTEP win probability: 44%
Margin (UTEP − UNLV): -2.3 (80% range -23 to 18)
Total: 53.3 (80% range 30 to 78)
Actual: UNLV 45 – UTEP 28 (margin error 14.7, total error 19.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 21 | 21 | 0.67% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.63% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.62% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.