Predicted scoreLean
Wyoming
25.4
UNLV
29.5
UNLV win probability: 60%
Margin (UNLV − Wyoming): 4.2 (80% range -17 to 25)
Total: 54.9 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: Wyoming 14 – UNLV 34 (margin error 15.8, total error 6.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.59% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.