UNLV
Mountain West
2024 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2024
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Houston | 7–27 | 33.8–23.7 | 30.1 |
| Week 3 | @ Kansas | 20–23 | 29.6–24.1 | 8.5 |
| Week 5 | vs Fresno State | 14–59 | 21.9–26.3 | 40.6 |
| Week 6 | vs Syracuse | 44–41 | 26.3–30.0 | 6.7 |
| Week 7 | @ Utah State | 34–50 | 21.9–33.9 | 4.0 |
| Week 8 | @ Oregon State | 25–33 | 26.4–27.5 | 6.9 |
| Week 9 | vs Boise State | 29–24 | 26.9–28.5 | 6.7 |
| Week 11 | @ Hawai'i | 27–29 | 20.4–34.0 | 11.6 |
| Week 12 | vs San Diego State | 20–41 | 15.5–31.8 | 4.7 |
| Week 13 | @ San José State | 16–27 | 22.5–29.0 | 4.5 |
| Week 14 | vs Nevada | 14–38 | 20.5–32.9 | 11.5 |
| Week 15 | @ Boise State | 21–7 | 30.2–25.3 | 9.1 |
| Week 1 | vs California | 13–24 | 29.1–23.1 | 17.0 |