2024 Week 15 · Dec 7, 2024, 1:00 AM · Albertsons Stadium
UNLV @ Boise State
Predicted scoreLean
UNLV
25.3
Boise State
30.2
Boise State win probability: 62%
Margin (Boise State − UNLV): 4.9 (80% range -15 to 25)
Total: 55.5 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: UNLV 7 – Boise State 21 (margin error 9.1, total error 27.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.58% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.