2024 Week 3 · Sep 13, 2024, 11:00 PM · Children's Mercy Park (neutral site)

UNLV @ Kansas

Predicted scoreLean

UNLV

24.1

Kansas

29.6

Kansas win probability: 63%

Margin (Kansas − UNLV): 5.5 (80% range -14 to 25)

Total: 53.7 (80% range 31 to 78)

Actual: UNLV 23 – Kansas 20 (margin error 8.5, total error 10.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.